Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surge
Bitcoin price forecasts diverge as US-Iran war tensions fueled an ongoing oil and bond-market surge, while July Fed rate-hike odds neared 40%. Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $65,000 on Thursday as US stocks slid amid another round of escalation in Iran.
Intelligence analysis by Llama

The ongoing US-Iran conflict has taken its toll on the crypto and stock markets, with Bitcoin price forecasts diverging and July Fed rate-hike odds nearing 40%. Bitcoin fell below $65,000 on Thursday as US stocks slid amid another round of escalation in Iran.
Imagine you're playing a game where you have to make decisions based on how other players are behaving. That's kind of like what's happening with Bitcoin and the US-Iran conflict. The conflict is making it harder for people to make decisions about how to invest their money, and that's affecting the price of Bitcoin. It's like a big game of chess, where everyone is trying to figure out what the other players will do next.
Analysis
A $60B Vote of Confidence
The ongoing US-Iran conflict has taken its toll on the crypto and stock markets, with Bitcoin price forecasts diverging and July Fed rate-hike odds nearing 40%. Bitcoin fell below $65,000 on Thursday as US stocks slid amid another round of escalation in Iran. The situation is closely watched by investors and traders, who are waiting to see how the conflict will unfold.
Why Cursor?
The conflict between the US and Iran has significant implications for the global economy, with oil prices rallying to their highest since early June. The US 10-year bond yields have also reached 18-month highs, a sign of fresh economic strain. The Federal Reserve's next interest-rate decision is also closely watched, with odds of a 0.25% hike nearing 40%.
The Road Ahead
The Bitcoin price analysis offers hope of a $73,000 target, but traders are showing an increasing split over what short-term BTC price action will bring. Some are hopeful, while others are more pessimistic, with some arguing that the Bitcoin relief rally is likely to end by late July. The 21-day moving average trend line becomes important nearby support, and the 21-week simple moving average at $64,073 is key. If bulls successfully break through resistance, a $73,000 target is possible.
Key points
- Bitcoin price forecasts diverge as US-Iran war tensions fueled an ongoing oil and bond-market surge
- July Fed rate-hike odds neared 40%
- Bitcoin fell below $65,000 on Thursday as US stocks slid amid another round of escalation in Iran
- The 21-day moving average trend line becomes important nearby support
- The 21-week simple moving average at $64,073 is key
If the conflict between the US and Iran is resolved quickly, Bitcoin prices could surge to $73,000 or higher. This would be a positive outcome for investors and traders, who are waiting to see how the conflict will unfold.
If the conflict between the US and Iran continues to escalate, Bitcoin prices could fall to $60,000 or lower. This would be a negative outcome for investors and traders, who are waiting to see how the conflict will unfold.



