Double Typhoons Bring Heavy Rainfall to Multiple Regions in China
China is bracing for severe weather as two typhoons, Zitan and Jianlawei, are set to bring strong winds and heavy rainfall to various southern and eastern provinces, with additional scattered heavy rains expected in northern and western regions.
Intelligence analysis by Gemini 2.5 Flash

China faces widespread heavy rainfall and strong convective weather from August 23rd to 28th. Two typhoons, Zitan (strengthening towards southern coasts) and Jianlawei (weakening near Taiwan), combined with monsoons, will impact southern, eastern, and northern regions.
Two big storms, Zitan and Jianlawei, are bringing lots of rain to China. Zitan is getting stronger and will hit the southern coast, while Jianlawei is getting weaker. This means many places will get heavy rain and thunderstorms for days, which could cause floods and make things difficult.
Analysis
Typhoon Zitan's Trajectory
Typhoon Zitan, designated as the 19th typhoon of the year and currently at tropical storm level, is a significant concern for China's southern coastal areas. Initially, it is projected to linger and swirl in the Beibu Gulf, indicating a period of unpredictable movement before it establishes a clearer path. From the evening of August 23rd, Zitan is expected to begin moving northeastward, then shifting north, at a relatively slow speed of 5 to 10 kilometers per hour. The forecast indicates a gradual strengthening of Zitan, potentially reaching the intensity of a strong tropical storm. Its anticipated trajectory will bring it closer to the coastal regions stretching from Guangxi to the western part of Guangdong's Leizhou Peninsula. This path suggests that these areas are at high risk of experiencing the typhoon's full force, including strong winds and substantial rainfall, which could lead to significant coastal impacts and inland flooding.
Jianlawei's Dissipation
In contrast to Zitan, Typhoon Jianlawei, the 20th typhoon of the year, presents a different scenario. As of 5 AM on August 23rd, its center was located in the southern East China Sea, approximately 115 kilometers northeast of Taipei City, Taiwan Province. Jianlawei is also moving at a slow pace, estimated at 5 to 10 kilometers per hour, but its direction is west-southwest. Crucially, Jianlawei is expected to gradually weaken as it progresses. The Central Meteorological Observatory predicts that it will dissipate in the Taiwan Strait by August 24th. While its direct impact on mainland China might be less severe due to its weakening trend, its presence contributes to the overall atmospheric instability and the strong southwest monsoon flow, indirectly influencing rainfall patterns in the region, particularly for Taiwan Island and coastal areas of Zhejiang and Fujian.
August 23rd to 25th Rainfall
The period from August 23rd to 25th is forecasted to be particularly challenging due to the combined influence of Typhoons Zitan and Jianlawei, along with the southwest monsoon. During these three days, several regions are expected to experience heavy to torrential rainfall, with some localized areas facing extreme torrential rain. These include the western part of Hainan Island, southern Guangxi, central-eastern and southern Guangdong, Fujian, Taiwan Island, and eastern and southern Zhejiang. Beyond these primary typhoon-affected zones, other parts of China will also see significant precipitation. Southwestern Sichuan Basin, Hunan, Jiangxi, and Yunnan are anticipated to receive scattered heavy rainfall. Furthermore, from August 23rd to 24th, eastern Northwest China, central-eastern Inner Mongolia, North China, and Northeast China are expected to have showers or thunderstorms, with localized heavy to torrential rain, accompanied by severe convective weather such as short-term heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, gales, or hail. This widespread precipitation pattern underscores the extensive nature of the weather system affecting China.
Key points
- Typhoon Zitan (19th of the year) is expected to strengthen and approach the coasts of Guangxi and Guangdong.
- Typhoon Jianlawei (20th of the year) is weakening and projected to dissipate in the Taiwan Strait by August 24th.
- From August 23rd to 25th, Hainan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Fujian, Taiwan, and Zhejiang are forecast to experience heavy to extreme torrential rainfall.
- Scattered heavy rainfall is also expected in Sichuan, Hunan, Jiangxi, and Yunnan.
- Northern regions will face showers, thunderstorms, and strong convective weather, including localized heavy rain, gales, and hail, from August 23rd to 28th.
The widespread heavy to torrential rainfall, especially in coastal and southern regions, significantly increases the risk of severe flooding, landslides, and mudslides, potentially leading to infrastructure damage, agricultural losses, and displacement of residents. The strong convective weather in northern regions also poses threats of hail and damaging winds, further exacerbating the potential for disruption and economic impact.

