Kazakhstan parliamentary elections begin: What’s at stake?
Kazakhstan heads to the polls in a snap parliamentary election expected to strengthen President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev's rule. Seven political parties are fielding candidates, with the newly formed Adilet party likely to win a large majority of the vote.
Intelligence analysis by Llama

Kazakhstan's parliamentary election is expected to solidify President Tokayev's rule, with the Adilet party likely to win a majority of the vote. The election comes after the country revamped its legislative system and introduced constitutional changes.
Kazakhstan is having an election to choose new leaders. The new party, Adilet, is likely to win and will make promises to improve the country's economy and people's lives. But some people are not sure if these promises will be kept.
Analysis
Constitutional Changes and the New Legislature
Kazakhstan's parliamentary election is a significant event in the country's political landscape, marking the first test of the new unicameral legislature, the Kurultai. The election comes just weeks after the country revamped its legislative system by introducing constitutional changes and shifting from a dual-chamber parliament to a single-chamber one. This move is seen as an attempt by Kazakhstan to assert itself as a major democratic power in Central Asia.
The Adilet Party and the Election
The newly formed Adilet party, led by top aides to President Tokayev, is expected to win a large majority of the vote. The party's campaign message, 'Just Kazakhstan,' pledges to raise household incomes, strengthen the country's economy, and improve public services, infrastructure, and digitalization. The party's popularity is evident in the widespread presence of its election posters in Almaty, Kazakhstan's largest city.
International Observers and the Election
International observers will attend the parliamentary election on Sunday, with the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly announcing that nearly 80 parliamentarians and staff from about 30 countries will be deployed to observe the election. This move is seen as a positive step towards ensuring the election's credibility and transparency.
What's at Stake?
The outcome of the election will determine the direction of Kazakhstan's politics and the extent of President Tokayev's control over the country. The election is also seen as an opportunity for the country to move away from the legacy of its former president, Nursultan Nazarbayev, who was known for his authoritarian rule and corruption. However, analysts say that little is likely to change materially, and the new parliament will not be transformative.
Key points
- Kazakhstan is holding a snap parliamentary election to choose new leaders.
- The newly formed Adilet party is expected to win a large majority of the vote.
- The election comes after the country revamped its legislative system and introduced constitutional changes.
- International observers will attend the election to ensure its credibility and transparency.
- The outcome of the election will determine the direction of Kazakhstan's politics and the extent of President Tokayev's control over the country.
If the Adilet party wins, they may be able to improve the country's economy and people's lives, as promised. This could lead to increased investment, job creation, and improved public services.
However, the election may also be seen as a way for President Tokayev to consolidate his power and remove opposition figures. This could lead to a more authoritarian government and reduced freedoms for the people.



