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Oil prices could rise to $150 a barrel if war on Iran resumes

Iran's top energy official predicts oil prices could hit $150 per barrel if war resumes with Iran.

By Hojjatoleslam Mousa Ahmadi·Oct 25·en.mehrnews.com·2 min read

Intelligence analysis by Qwen 2.5 (3B)

Oil prices could rise to $150 a barrel if war on Iran resumes
Image: en.mehrnews.com

Iran's energy commission head warns of potential $150 oil prices if war with Iran restarts.

Why it matters

This article highlights concerns about potential economic instability if Iran and the US engage in conflict, particularly regarding oil prices.

If Iran and the US have a war, the price of oil could go up to $150 a barrel, which is a lot of money. This could make it harder for countries to buy oil and could cause prices to go up for things like gas and food.

Analysis

{"

Potential Oil Price Surge":"According to Hojjatoleslam Mousa Ahmadi, the chairman of the Energy Commission at the Iranian parliament, a resumption of war with Iran could lead to oil prices exceeding $150 per barrel. Ahmadi cited declining U.S. strategic petroleum reserves and oil prices exceeding $117 per barrel as factors contributing to this scenario. He emphasized that such a price increase would have far-reaching economic and political consequences, including increased inflationary pressures and greater pressure on the U.S. government to control energy prices.","

Economic Pressure on the US":"Ahmadi noted that a prolonged energy crisis could place significant economic and political pressure on the United States. He argued that Iran intends to maintain long-term pressure on oil markets, drawing on its strategic position in the energy sector and the defensive capabilities of its armed forces. He also warned that continued disruptions to oil supplies could pose further challenges to economic stability in both the United States and Europe.","

European Countries at Risk":"Ahmadi highlighted energy-related challenges facing several European countries, including France, Portugal, Albania, and Italy. He warned that continued disruptions to oil supplies could exacerbate economic instability in these nations. The Iranian official also pointed to the potential impact on the United States, suggesting that a prolonged energy crisis could increase the economic and political costs for Washington."}

Key points

  • Iran's top energy official predicts oil prices could hit $150 per barrel if war resumes with Iran.
  • Ahmadi cited declining U.S. strategic petroleum reserves and oil prices exceeding $117 per barrel as factors contributing to this scenario.
  • A prolonged energy crisis could place significant economic and political pressure on the United States.
  • Continued disruptions to oil supplies could pose further challenges to economic stability in both the United States and Europe.
  • The Iranian official highlighted energy-related challenges facing several European countries, including France, Portugal, Albania, and Italy.
The Upside

If the war does not happen, oil prices will likely remain stable, and the economy will not be as affected.

The Downside

If the war does happen, oil prices could skyrocket to $150 a barrel, causing big problems for many countries and making it harder for people to buy things.

Originally reported at

en.mehrnews.com

Discernion covers the story. Read the full piece at the source.

Tagsiranoileconomypolitics

Author

Hojjatoleslam Mousa Ahmadi

Intelligence analysis by

Qwen 2.5 (3B)

Published

Oct 25, 2026

Source

en.mehrnews.com

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Topics

iranoileconomypolitics

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