Tunisia marks Saied's emergency measures anniversary amid deadly power crisis
Tunisia marks five years since President Kais Saied suspended parliament and consolidated power, now facing a deadly power crisis during an exceptional heatwave, with 150-200 reported deaths.
Intelligence analysis by Gemini 2.5 Flash
Five years after President Kais Saied seized emergency powers, Tunisia is grappling with its worst infrastructure crisis, including widespread power outages and water shortages, reportedly causing numerous deaths. This crisis unfolds as critics decry Saied's consolidation of power and the erosion of democratic institutions, while his supporters maintain he rescued the state from paral…
Imagine a country where the leader took a lot of power five years ago, promising to make things better. Now, during a super hot summer, the electricity keeps going out for days, and many people are getting sick or even dying because their medical machines stop working. It's like when your house lights go out, but for a whole country, and it's really dangerous for some people, while the leader's promises haven't fixed the big problems.
Analysis
Five Years of Centralized Power
On July 25, 2021, President Kais Saied invoked Article 80 of the 2014 constitution to implement a series of exceptional measures, fundamentally altering Tunisia's political landscape. These actions included freezing parliament's powers, suspending the immunity of its members, dismissing Prime Minister Hichem Mechichi, and assuming executive authority. Saied subsequently appointed his own government and placed the public prosecution service under his direct supervision, effectively centralizing power within the presidency.
This initial move set in motion a political restructuring that culminated in the adoption of a new constitution in 2022, establishing a presidential system. The new document significantly broadened Saied's powers compared to the 2014 text, assigning the president primary responsibility for state policy and substantially narrowing parliament's role. The referendum approving this constitution, held on July 25, 2022, saw a turnout far below previous elections, largely due to a boycott by most opposition parties, highlighting the contentious nature of these changes.
Erosion of Democratic Institutions
Between his emergency declaration and the new constitution's adoption, President Saied governed by decree, systematically stripping parliament of its legislative and oversight functions before dissolving it definitively in March 2022. Further consolidating his authority, Presidential Decree No. 117 in September 2021 formalized his assumption of wide executive and legislative powers. In 2022, Saied also announced the dissolution of the High Judicial Council and dismissed dozens of judges by presidential order.
These actions have been widely criticized by judges, opposition parties, and human rights organizations as a direct assault on judicial independence. From early 2023, judicial proceedings have multiplied against prominent opposition figures, politicians, businesspeople, and journalists, including Rached Ghannouchi and Chaima Issa. While Tunisian authorities claim these cases are unrelated to political activity and concern threats to state security, opposition groups and international human rights organizations describe them as politically motivated, further signaling a decline in the rule of law and human rights protections.
Crisis Amidst Unfulfilled Promises
The anniversary of Saied's emergency measures is overshadowed by a severe infrastructure crisis, marked by over a week of blackouts during an exceptional heatwave, which has also led to severe water shortages. The Organisation of Young Doctors in Tunisia reported between 150 and 200 deaths linked to these conditions, though authorities have not confirmed these figures. Local media reported at least five direct deaths, including a cancer patient, due to power failures disabling home medical equipment like oxygen devices.
President Saied acknowledged the crisis, describing the outages as "not normal" and calling for accountability, but offered no specific measures. The state electricity company, STEG, attributed the outages to record demand from "excessive use of air conditioning," stating that controlled outages were a "preventive measure" to protect the national grid. This crisis underscores the persistent economic difficulties and limited growth that have plagued Tunisia since 2021, with promises of economic renewal failing to materialize. Private investment remains cautious, and access to external financing is restricted, with international financial institutions like the IMF warning about rising public debt, exacerbating the challenges faced by the Saied administration.
Key points
- Tunisia marks five years since President Kais Saied suspended parliament and consolidated power.
- The country is experiencing a deadly power crisis and water shortages during an exceptional heatwave, with 150-200 reported deaths.
- President Saied's actions led to a new constitution in 2022, establishing a presidential system with significantly broader powers for him.
- Critics, including human rights organizations, accuse Saied of eroding democratic institutions and judicial independence through dismissals of judges and politically motivated prosecutions.
- Economic growth remains modest, and promises of renewal have not translated into meaningful improvements, exacerbating the current infrastructure failures.
The severe infrastructure crisis, particularly the deadly power outages, could potentially galvanize international support or pressure on the Tunisian government to address its governance and economic challenges more effectively, leading to reforms that benefit the population.
Without significant policy changes or external intervention, Tunisia risks further political instability, economic decline, and a worsening humanitarian situation, especially if critical infrastructure continues to fail during extreme weather events. The ongoing crackdown on opposition figures also suggests a deepening authoritarian trend.