Where Will SpaceX Stock Be in 1 Year?
SpaceX delivered a blowout earnings report, beating Wall Street expectations on the top and bottom lines. Despite this, the market wasn't impressed, and the stock fell after the report. However, it has since regained some of its losses. The company's growth and valuation …
Intelligence analysis by Llama

SpaceX's earnings report was a mixed bag, with the company beating expectations but the market reacting negatively. The stock's price will depend on its growth and valuation in the future.
Imagine you're on a spaceship, and you're trying to get to the moon. SpaceX is like the company that's trying to make that happen. They just had a big success with their earnings report, but the stock price went down. This is because the company is spending a lot of money on new projects, and the market is worried that they won't make it back. But if they do make it back, the stock price could go up.
Analysis
A $60B Vote of Confidence
SpaceX's recent earnings report was a resounding success, with the company beating Wall Street expectations on both the top and bottom lines. Revenue increased by 92% year over year to $7.8 billion, while loss per share improved from $0.26 last year to $0.09 this year. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) increased by 191% to $1.2 billion. These are clearly fantastic results for the company in total.
Why the Market Wasn't Impressed
Despite the impressive earnings report, the market wasn't impressed. The stock fell after the report, but has since regained some of its losses. This reaction may be due to the company's $18.4 billion in capital expenditures, $15.8 billion of which went to AI. CFO Bret Johnsen said the company will make that back within a year, but the market appears wary of that prediction.
The Road Ahead
The company's growth and valuation will be key factors in determining its stock price in the future. With the new sales added to the equation, SpaceX now trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 63, a good deal lower than before the report. That kind of valuation still has loads of growth built into it, and the stock may not be able to move meaningfully higher until the company's growth outpaces its valuation.
Key points
- SpaceX delivered a blowout earnings report, beating Wall Street expectations on the top and bottom lines.
- The company's growth and valuation will be key factors in determining its stock price in the future.
- The stock's price will depend on its growth and valuation in the future.
- The company's $18.4 billion in capital expenditures, $15.8 billion of which went to AI, may be a concern for the market.
- CFO Bret Johnsen said the company will make that back within a year, but the market appears wary of that prediction.
If SpaceX continues to blow past expectations, there's a good chance its stock will be in better shape to steadily rise. A year from now, it will also be past all of its staggered lockup periods, which will provide greater stability.
However, with Elon Musk at the helm, charting a new path toward the moon, there may always be risk and volatility associated with SpaceX stock.


