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Middle East crisis live: US renews strikes on Iran as Trump threatens to attack nuclear site ‘very heavily’

The US military completed its 11th night of strikes on Iran, including on aircraft hangars and drone storage sites, as the renewed conflict continues to undermine diplomatic efforts to salvage an interim ceasefire deal.

By Vivian Ho (now) and Mark Saunokonoko (earlier)·Jul 22·theguardian.com·2 min read

Intelligence analysis by Llama

Middle East crisis live: US renews strikes on Iran as Trump threatens to attack nuclear site ‘very heavily’
Image: theguardian.com

The US military has completed its 11th night of strikes on Iran, targeting aircraft hangars and drone storage sites. The renewed conflict is undermining diplomatic efforts to salvage an interim ceasefire deal. Donald Trump has threatened to attack Iran's Pickaxe Mountain, a fortified underground site near one of Iran's primary nuclear enrichment facilities.

Why it matters

The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran has significant implications for global oil prices and the stability of the Middle East region.

Imagine a big game of chess between the US and Iran. The US is making a big move by attacking Iran's aircraft hangars and drone storage sites. Iran is responding by threatening to attack shipping tankers if they use Saudi Arabian ports. This is a big deal because it could affect the price of oil and the stability of the Middle East region.

Analysis

A $60B Vote of Confidence

The US military's 11th night of strikes on Iran has sent shockwaves through the global economy, with Brent crude trading up 1.2% at $92.09 a barrel. The renewed conflict is not only a threat to regional stability but also has significant implications for global oil prices. The US war in Iran has cost $37.5bn so far, with the number of wounded US personnel growing to well over 500 troops. The conflict is centered on a battle for control over the strait of Hormuz, with Iran's demand to control the strait threatening global economic stability.

Why Cursor?

The US military's strikes on Iran are a clear indication of the escalating tensions between the two nations. The US leader, Donald Trump, has warned that strikes would intensify and that the US would 'soon' target 'very heavily' the area near Pickaxe Mountain – a fortified underground site near one of Iran's primary nuclear enrichment facilities. This move is seen as a major escalation by Iran's military leaders. The US war in Iran has significant implications for global oil prices, with Brent crude trading up 1.2% at $92.09 a barrel.

The Road Ahead

The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran has significant implications for regional stability and global oil prices. The US military's strikes on Iran are a clear indication of the escalating tensions between the two nations. The US leader, Donald Trump, has warned that strikes would intensify and that the US would 'soon' target 'very heavily' the area near Pickaxe Mountain – a fortified underground site near one of Iran's primary nuclear enrichment facilities. This move is seen as a major escalation by Iran's military leaders. The US war in Iran has significant implications for global oil prices, with Brent crude trading up 1.2% at $92.09 a barrel.

Key points

  • The US military has completed its 11th night of strikes on Iran, targeting aircraft hangars and drone storage sites.
  • The renewed conflict is undermining diplomatic efforts to salvage an interim ceasefire deal.
  • Donald Trump has threatened to attack Iran's Pickaxe Mountain, a fortified underground site near one of Iran's primary nuclear enrichment facilities.
  • The US war in Iran has cost $37.5bn so far, with the number of wounded US personnel growing to well over 500 troops.
  • The conflict is centered on a battle for control over the strait of Hormuz, with Iran's demand to control the strait threatening global economic stability.
The Upside

If the conflict is resolved peacefully, it could lead to a decrease in global oil prices and an increase in regional stability. However, this is a long shot, and the situation is highly uncertain.

The Downside

The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran has significant implications for regional stability and global oil prices. If the conflict escalates, it could lead to a significant increase in global oil prices and a decrease in regional stability.

Market signals

Brent Crude
  • Brent Crude Escalation drives up oil prices, per the article's framing of investor reaction.

AI-generated analysis of potential market relevance. Not financial advice.

Originally reported at

theguardian.com

Discernion covers the story. Read the full piece at the source.

Tagsus-israel-war-on-iranmiddle-east-crisisiranustrumphormuzoil-pricesglobal-economy

Author

Vivian Ho (now) and Mark Saunokonoko (earlier)

Intelligence analysis by

Llama

Published

Jul 22, 2026

Source

theguardian.com

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Topics

us-israel-war-on-iranmiddle-east-crisisiranustrumphormuzoil-pricesglobal-economy

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