California governor's race narrows as Hilton, Becerra take early lead over Steyer
Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra took early leads in California's governor's race as ballot counting continued, while Tom Steyer lagged behind.
Intelligence analysis by GPT-5.4 Mini

California's open governor's race is starting to sort itself out under the state's top-two primary system. Early returns show Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra ahead, with cost of living, housing and public safety dominating the campaign.
California is picking its next governor, like choosing a new captain for a very big team. Early vote counts show Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra ahead, while many voters are worried most about rent, housing, gas, and everyday costs.
Analysis
The race takes shape
California's contest to replace term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom is beginning to narrow as ballots are counted. Under the state's top-two primary system, the two highest vote-getters advance to November regardless of party.
Early results put Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra ahead, with billionaire environmentalist Tom Steyer trying to close the gap as counting continues. Other prominent candidates, including Katie Porter, Matt Mahan and Antonio Villaraigosa, said Tuesday night they would not be California's next governor.
What voters are focusing on
The article says the campaign has been shaped by the cost of living, which has become a central concern for many Californians. A recent CBS News poll found 70% of registered voters called the cost of living "unmanageable" where they live, while only 7% said the "California Dream" is still attainable today.
Candidates have been pushed to explain how they would deal with homelessness, energy policy, public safety, immigration, gas prices and housing affordability. Hilton has built his campaign around affordability, promising to make the state "Califordable" and criticizing Newsom's handling of housing, homelessness and regulation.
Becerra has leaned on his government experience, pointing to his time as California attorney general and as U.S. Health and Human Services secretary. He argued in the CBS News debate that the governor's office is not a place for beginners and that voters need people who have handled major crises.
Political backdrop
The governor's office has been held by Democrats since 2011. Hilton has also received an endorsement from President Trump, while Republican Chad Bianco has struggled to keep pace in recent polling. On the Democratic side, the field was reshaped after Eric Swalwell suspended his campaign in April.
Key points
- Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra held early leads as California's governor's race entered the final vote-counting stage.
- The state's top-two primary means the top two finishers advance to November, regardless of party.
- Cost of living is the dominant issue; a recent CBS News poll found 70% of voters said it is unmanageable where they live.
- Katie Porter, Matt Mahan and Antonio Villaraigosa said Tuesday night they would not become governor.
- The race is being shaped by housing, homelessness, public safety, immigration, energy policy and affordability.
If the race sharpens around affordability, the next governor could enter office with a clearer mandate to tackle housing and cost-of-living pressures. The top-two system could also force the finalists to appeal beyond their party bases.
If the campaign stays focused on frustration without clear plans, voters may end up choosing between candidates they see as familiar rather than effective. The article also suggests the affordability problem is severe enough that even a winner may struggle to meet expectations quickly.